Economic forecasts rarely hit the mark as reality is full of surprises. Thankfully we can learn from the patterns of forecast errors. They shed light ...

Hawaii’s economy is hard to predict. Hawaii Business compared a decade of annual economic forecasts against the actual numbers and found most forecasts correctly predict whether key indicators will ...

As a climatologist and a geographer, I am very interested in how weather and climate varies across geographical space. To that extent, how does the forecastability of weather vary from one location to ...