Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

Discover how biased expectations theory impacts interest rates by incorporating investor preferences and risks, beyond just future rate predictions.

Stocks struggled for direction yesterday after falling sharply on the first trading day in September, as growth concerns continue to mount with intense scrutiny over every high-frequency economic ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

The relationship between the 10- and 2-year Treasury yield briefly normalized Wednesday, reversing a classic recession indicator. Following economic news that showed a sharp decline in job openings ...

The inverted yield curve, an age-old recession indicator that has been flashing since July 2022, is proving reluctant to go away. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond was higher than the yield on ...