First time I'm showing the IBM GRAF Model on Hurricane Beryl...this model performed well on track and intensity in the hyperactive Gulf seasons of 2020-2022...including Laura, Sally, Delta, Zeta, Ida and Ian. Thing that stands out on this run, is the deepening of the system back to what looks to be a better than Category 1 hurricane in the Southwestern Gulf after clearing the Yucatan...we'll see if this indeed verifies...as the GRAF Model right now is more of an outlier (for intensity) & going a

Latest GRAF Model forecast looks pretty dialed in...unfortunately with Beryl moving into a zone with less shear & near 90° sea temperatures "a rapid intensification (RI) is a distinct possibility if the core can become isolated from the dry air that has been inhibiting intensification during the last day or so." - NHC If this would to occur it would begin later this afternoon/early evening roughly the last 6-12 hours prior to landfall...kind of the m.o. of recent Gulf Coast hurricanes where they